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Stock picks

Picks is a personal list of stocks that trade below their estimated worth, each with research and a dated history of every change: information, not advice.

166 stocks · Updated

Latest note · · Updated

Lenders join the AI build-out as 20 picks get ready to report

Read the note →

This week

Earnings reports and checkpoints (dated tests of a thesis) in the next 7 days

Past results
  • NOCQ3 2026 results: margins and program charges
  • RTXQ3 2026 results: defense orders and GTF
  • DHRQ3 2026 results: core growth and bioprocessing
  • LVSQ3 2026 results: Macao recovery
  • MCOQ3 2026 results: MA growth and rating revenue
  • METAQ3 2026 results: free cash flow, Meta One and capex
  • ROLQ3 2026 results: organic growth, leads and margin
  • SAPQ3 2026 results: cloud growth and cloud backlog
  • ALLEQ3 2026 results: margins and volumes
  • BXQ3 2026 results: inflows, fee earnings and BCRED
  • CMCSAQ3 2026 results: broadband losses and wireless growth
  • LMTQ3 2026 results: program charges and free cash flow
  • NSRGYNine-month sales 2026: RIG and the effect of Russia
  • PCGQ3 2026 results: capital plan and strategic review update
  • PGFiscal Q1 2027 earnings: volume, costs and guidance
  • POOLQ3 2026 results: peak-season maintenance sales and gross margin
  • RELXNine-month trading update: Legal and STM growth
  • RHHBYNine-month sales 2026: growth at constant rates
  • RTOQ3 2026 trading update: North America growth
  • AXPQ3 2026 results: revenue and expense growth
  • GNTXQ3 2026 results: revenue against vehicle production
  • est.TSCOQ3 2026 results: comparable store sales

Valuation map

Faded: gap will probably not close

Not on the map (no analyst rating): SUGR

Higher is cheaper vs. fair value; further right is more loved by analysts. Bubble color shows the moat and size the fair-value uncertainty (the key is under More filters). Tap or hover a bubble for details.

How to read this chart

Discount = 1 minus price divided by fair value. A stock below the 0% line has a price above its fair value. The analyst axis is the average analyst rating in LSEG's data, from 1 (strong buy) to 5 (strong sell), shown as words: Strong buy below 1.5, Buy from 1.5, Hold from 2.5, Sell from 3.5 and Strong sell from 4.5. The vertical lines mark where one word ends and the next begins. The axis is stretched where ratings are close together and squeezed where they are far apart, so the bands are not drawn to scale. A bright, thick-ringed bubble links to a full write-up — tap or click it to select it, then tap or click it again (or its "Open" link) to open the write-up. A faded, thin-ringed bubble does not link anywhere yet. Under More filters, tap or click a chip to show or hide that group (moat, uncertainty, or whether a write-up exists). Use the As of menu to see the map on an earlier date. Fair values are the analysts' unless the tooltip names another source (management, the analysts' mean target in LSEG, or an AI estimate); a pick with no moat or uncertainty rating gets a neutral color or size, and the moat and uncertainty chips never hide it. A pick with no fair value appears in a separate strip below the chart, positioned by its LSEG rating only. A pick with no LSEG rating cannot be placed on the map, so it is listed under the chart instead. A dimmed bubble is a company whose gap to fair value will probably not close (a structural discount), so its height overstates the opportunity; the switch above the map hides these companies on the map and in the table. A starred or owned pick gets a gold ring; a passed pick fades until its research or ratings change.

Earnings calendar

All picks

166 stocks

Star , Own or Pass a company to sort it.

  • TME
    Tencent Music
    64.0%
    below fair value
    $8.65 → fair value $24.00
    NarrowHighLSEG 2.39
    Earnings Nov 17 · Updated
  • LULU
    lululemon
    61.1%
    below fair value
    $99.09 → fair value $255.00
    NarrowHighLSEG 3.06
    Earnings Dec 3 (est.) · Updated
  • FLUT
    Flutter Entertainment
    59.3%
    below fair value
    $76.18 → fair value $187.00
    NarrowHighLSEG 1.97
    Earnings Nov 5 (est.) · Updated
  • GIL
    Gildan Activewear
    55.5%
    below fair value
    CA$59.57 → fair value CA$134.00
    NarrowMediumLSEG 2.20
    Earnings Oct 30 (est.) · Updated
  • FISV
    Fiserv
    55.5%
    below fair value
    $47.21 → fair value $106.00
    NarrowHighLSEG 2.85
    Earnings Nov 6 (est.) · Updated
  • FIS
    FIS
    53.1%
    below fair value
    $36.13 → fair value $77.00
    NarrowMediumLSEG 2.39
    Earnings Nov 4 (est.) · Updated
  • CPB
    The Campbell's Company
    51.6%
    below fair value
    $20.08 → fair value $41.50
    WideMediumLSEG 3.38
    Earnings Dec 8 (est.) · Updated
  • SARO
    StandardAero
    50.5%
    below fair value
    $20.99 → fair value $42.40
    NarrowMediumLSEG 2.00
    Earnings Nov 5 (est.) · Updated
  • DKNG
    DraftKings
    50.5%
    below fair value
    $19.31 → fair value $39.00
    NarrowHighLSEG 1.98
    Earnings Nov 6 (est.) · Updated
  • GNTX
    Gentex
    49.7%
    below fair value
    $21.11 → fair value $42.00
    NarrowMediumLSEG 2.56
    Earnings Oct 23 · Updated
  • AVGO
    Broadcom
    47.9%
    below fair value
    $338.40 → fair value $650.00
    WideHighLSEG 1.76
    Earnings Dec 10 (est.) · Updated
  • IONS
    Ionis Pharmaceuticals
    47.5%
    below fair value
    $44.12 → fair value $84.00
    NarrowHighLSEG 1.96
    Earnings Oct 29 (est.) · Updated
  • BABA
    Alibaba Group Holding Ltd
    46.9%
    below fair value
    $109.91 → fair value $207.00
    WideHighLSEG 1.83Structural gap: The VIE structure, the US military-company listing and US-China tension keep a discount on Alibaba whatever its cloud business does.
    Earnings Nov 24 (est.) · Updated
  • ABG
    Asbury Automotive
    46.1%
    below fair value
    $169.87 → fair value $315.00
    NarrowHighLSEG 2.67
    Earnings Oct 28 (est.) · Updated
  • BN
    Brookfield Corporation
    45.9%
    below fair value
    $36.27 → fair value $67.00 (Management)
    Narrow (AI estimate)LSEG 2.15Structural gap: The multi-layer holding structure stays after the merger, so part of the gap to plan value will probably never close.
    Earnings Nov 12 · Updated
  • ESAB
    ESAB
    45.8%
    below fair value
    $65.63 → fair value $121.00
    NarrowMediumLSEG 1.55
    Earnings Nov 6 (est.) · Updated
  • KMX
    CarMax
    45.2%
    below fair value
    $52.62 → fair value $96.00
    NarrowHighLSEG 2.68
    Earnings Dec 17 · Updated
  • GPI
    Group 1 Automotive
    44.5%
    below fair value
    $239.80 → fair value $432.00
    NarrowHighLSEG 2.31
    Earnings Oct 30 (est.) · Updated
  • CLX
    The Clorox Company
    44.1%
    below fair value
    $86.16 → fair value $154.00
    WideMediumLSEG 3.10
    Earnings Nov 2 · Updated
  • PAYP
    PayPay
    43.6%
    below fair value
    $14.66 → fair value $26.00
    NarrowHighLSEG 1.92
    Earnings Nov 3 · Updated
  • KHC
    Kraft Heinz
    43.2%
    below fair value
    $23.28 → fair value $41.00
    NarrowMediumLSEG 3.10
    Earnings Nov 4 · Updated
  • CNH
    CNH Industrial
    43.1%
    below fair value
    $11.95 → fair value $21.00
    NarrowMediumLSEG 2.24
    Earnings Nov 3 (est.) · Updated
  • CPNG
    Coupang
    42.7%
    below fair value
    $14.79 → fair value $25.80
    NarrowHighLSEG 2.19
    Earnings Nov 4 (est.) · Updated
  • YUMC
    Yum China Holdings
    41.9%
    below fair value
    $44.76 → fair value $77.00
    WideMediumLSEG 1.76Structural gap: US-China tension and a weak Chinese consumer keep a country discount on Yum China that its own results cannot remove.
    Earnings Nov 3 · Updated
  • MBGL
    Mobility Global
    41.5%
    below fair value
    $18.72 → fair value $32.00
    NarrowMediumLSEG 2.64
    Earnings Nov 12 · Updated
  • PNR
    Pentair
    41.3%
    below fair value
    $53.45 → fair value $91.00
    NarrowMediumLSEG 2.33
    Earnings Oct 27 · Updated
  • APP
    AppLovin
    41.2%
    below fair value
    $276.24 → fair value $470.00
    NarrowVery HighLSEG 1.94
    Earnings Nov 4 · Updated
  • LPLA
    LPL Financial
    40.4%
    below fair value
    $323.78 → fair value $543.00
    WideHighLSEG 1.95
    Earnings Oct 27 · Updated
  • CSGP
    CoStar Group
    39.6%
    below fair value
    $32.00 → fair value $53.00
    NarrowHighLSEG 2.36
    Earnings Oct 27 · Updated
  • CMCSA
    Comcast
    39.5%
    below fair value
    $21.77 → fair value $36.00
    NarrowMediumLSEG 2.76
    Earnings Oct 22 · Updated
  • RTO
    Rentokil Initial
    38.8%
    below fair value
    $20.82 → fair value $34.00
    NarrowHighLSEG 1.75
    Earnings Oct 22 · Updated
  • BMRN
    BioMarin
    37.7%
    below fair value
    $56.05 → fair value $90.00
    NarrowHighLSEG 1.97
    Earnings Oct 26 (est.) · Updated
  • TEX
    Terex
    37.3%
    below fair value
    $52.65 → fair value $84.00
    NarrowHighLSEG 2.14
    Earnings Oct 28 · Updated
  • HONA
    Honeywell Aerospace
    36.7%
    below fair value
    $161.94 → fair value $256.00
    WideMediumLSEG 2.59
    Earnings Oct 28 · Updated
  • TCOM
    Trip.com Group
    36.6%
    below fair value
    $39.93 → fair value $63.00
    NarrowHighLSEG 1.89
    Earnings Nov 17 (est.) · Updated
  • NTES
    NetEase
    36.4%
    below fair value
    $127.11 → fair value $200.00
    NarrowHighLSEG 1.80Structural gap: Most of the gap comes from Chinese game regulation and US-China tension, which NetEase cannot control and which have no end date.
    Earnings Nov 19 (est.) · Updated
  • PCG
    PG&E
    36.3%
    below fair value
    $13.06 → fair value $20.50
    NoneMediumLSEG 2.39Structural gap: California has no cap on wildfire liability, the 2026 reform bill failed, and one bad fire can erase years of profit.
    Earnings Oct 22 · Updated
  • SNY
    Sanofi
    36.0%
    below fair value
    $40.29 → fair value $63.00
    NarrowMediumLSEG 2.22
    Earnings Oct 30 · Updated
  • LII
    Lennox
    36.0%
    below fair value
    $358.50 → fair value $560.00
    NarrowHighLSEG 2.80
    Earnings Oct 28 · Updated
  • WYNN
    Wynn Resorts
    35.9%
    below fair value
    $75.58 → fair value $118.00
    NarrowHighLSEG 1.74
    Earnings Nov 5 · Updated
  • GPN
    Global Payments
    35.7%
    below fair value
    $84.17 → fair value $131.00
    NarrowHighLSEG 2.37
    Earnings Nov 5 (est.) · Updated
  • CTVA
    Corteva
    35.6%
    below fair value
    $12.88 → fair value $20.00
    NarrowHighLSEG 2.09
    Earnings Nov 11 · Updated
  • PODD
    Insulet
    35.5%
    below fair value
    $138.77 → fair value $215.00
    NarrowHighLSEG 2.19
    Earnings Nov 4 · Updated
  • INGR
    Ingredion
    35.2%
    below fair value
    $97.27 → fair value $150.00
    NarrowHighLSEG 2.75
    Earnings Nov 4 (est.) · Updated
  • DTEGY
    Deutsche Telekom
    35.0%
    below fair value
    $28.62 → fair value $44.00
    NarrowMediumLSEG 1.50
    Earnings Nov 5 · Updated
  • AS
    Amer Sports
    34.9%
    below fair value
    $29.94 → fair value $46.00
    NarrowHighLSEG 1.76
    Earnings Nov 18 (est.) · Updated
  • HAYW
    Hayward
    34.8%
    below fair value
    $11.74 → fair value $18.00
    NarrowHighLSEG 2.33
    Earnings Oct 29 (est.) · Updated
  • MRVL
    Marvell Technology
    34.4%
    below fair value
    $236.09 → fair value $360.00
    NarrowHighLSEG 1.85
    Earnings Dec 1 (est.) · Updated
  • OTIS
    Otis Worldwide
    33.2%
    below fair value
    $70.15 → fair value $105.00
    WideLowLSEG 2.53
    Earnings Oct 28 · Updated
  • TMUS
    T-Mobile US
    33.2%
    below fair value
    $157.03 → fair value $235.00
    NarrowHighLSEG 1.96
    Earnings Oct 28 · Updated
  • AN
    AutoNation
    32.9%
    below fair value
    $159.80 → fair value $238.00
    NarrowHighLSEG 1.93
    Earnings Oct 30 (est.) · Updated
  • RELX
    RELX
    32.7%
    below fair value
    $38.37 → fair value $57.00
    WideMediumLSEG 1.67
    Earnings Oct 22 · Updated
  • LVS
    Las Vegas Sands
    31.6%
    below fair value
    $38.32 → fair value $56.00
    NarrowHighLSEG 2.18
    Earnings Oct 21 · Updated
  • EXPGY
    Experian
    31.4%
    below fair value
    $37.72 → fair value $55.00
    WideMediumLSEG 1.67
    Earnings Nov 18 · Updated
  • EIX
    Edison International
    31.3%
    below fair value
    $55.65 → fair value $81.00
    NarrowMediumLSEG 3.24
    Earnings Oct 30 (est.) · Updated
  • CHKP
    Check Point
    31.3%
    below fair value
    $138.10 → fair value $201.00
    NarrowMediumLSEG 2.46
    Earnings Nov 2 · Updated
  • BSX
    Boston Scientific
    31.0%
    below fair value
    $44.14 → fair value $64.00
    NarrowMediumLSEG 1.94
    Earnings Oct 28 · Updated
  • WSO
    Watsco
    30.8%
    below fair value
    $299.50 → fair value $433.00
    NarrowMediumLSEG 2.93
    Earnings Oct 27 · Updated
  • VNT
    Vontier
    30.6%
    below fair value
    $33.30 → fair value $48.00
    NarrowMediumLSEG 2.27
    Earnings Nov 5 (est.) · Updated
  • BR
    Broadridge Financial Solutions
    30.4%
    below fair value
    $173.96 → fair value $250.00
    WideMediumLSEG 2.30
    Earnings Nov 3 (est.) · Updated
  • HII
    Huntington Ingalls
    30.3%
    below fair value
    $266.19 → fair value $382.00
    WideHighLSEG 2.31
    Earnings Oct 29 · Updated
  • NVDA
    Nvidia
    30.1%
    below fair value
    $216.67 → fair value $310.00
    WideVery HighLSEG 1.68
    Earnings Nov 18 (est.) · Updated
  • OMC
    Omnicom
    29.8%
    below fair value
    $80.72 → fair value $115.00
    NarrowHighLSEG 2.47
    Earnings Oct 27 (est.) · Updated
  • PBH
    Prestige Consumer Healthcare
    29.7%
    below fair value
    $49.20 → fair value $70.00
    NarrowMediumLSEG 2.00
    Earnings Nov 5 · Updated
  • SOLS
    Solstice Advanced Materials
    29.5%
    below fair value
    $59.92 → fair value $85.00
    NarrowMediumLSEG 2.00
    Earnings Nov 4 · Updated
  • LHX
    L3Harris
    29.3%
    below fair value
    $240.50 → fair value $340.00
    NarrowMediumLSEG 2.15
    Earnings Oct 29 · Updated
  • CG
    Carlyle
    29.2%
    below fair value
    $36.81 → fair value $52.00
    NarrowHighLSEG 2.57
    Earnings Nov 5 · Updated
  • MKC
    McCormick
    28.9%
    below fair value
    $46.24 → fair value $65.00
    WideMediumLSEG 2.38
    Earnings Jan 21 (est.) · Updated
  • CARR
    Carrier Global
    28.6%
    below fair value
    $54.96 → fair value $77.00
    NarrowMediumLSEG 2.21
    Earnings Oct 29 · Updated
  • PYPL
    PayPal
    28.6%
    below fair value
    $57.16 → fair value $80.00
    NarrowHighLSEG 2.85
    Earnings Oct 27 (est.) · Updated
  • TYL
    Tyler Technologies
    27.9%
    below fair value
    $360.41 → fair value $500.00
    WideHighLSEG 1.83
    Earnings Oct 29 (est.) · Updated
  • ZBH
    Zimmer Biomet
    27.7%
    below fair value
    $94.00 → fair value $130.00
    WideMediumLSEG 2.64
    Earnings Nov 5 (est.) · Updated
  • LEA
    Lear
    27.7%
    below fair value
    $121.49 → fair value $168.00
    NarrowHighLSEG 2.53
    Earnings Oct 30 · Updated
  • FBIN
    Fortune Brands Innovations
    27.3%
    below fair value
    $39.96 → fair value $55.00
    NarrowHighLSEG 2.60
    Earnings Nov 4 (est.) · Updated
  • AMCR
    Amcor
    27.1%
    below fair value
    $43.74 → fair value $60.00
    NarrowMediumLSEG 2.21
    Earnings Nov 12 (est.) · Updated
  • SONY
    Sony
    27.1%
    below fair value
    $24.79 → fair value $34.00
    WideMediumLSEG 1.75
    Earnings Nov 10 (est.) · Updated
  • PII
    Polaris
    26.9%
    below fair value
    $53.38 → fair value $73.00
    WideHighLSEG 2.78
    Earnings Oct 27 · Updated
  • NXPI
    NXP Semiconductors
    26.8%
    below fair value
    $226.79 → fair value $310.00
    WideHighLSEG 2.13
    Earnings Oct 27 · Updated
  • ADBE
    Adobe
    26.8%
    below fair value
    $251.67 → fair value $344.00
    NarrowHighLSEG 2.77
    Earnings Dec 10 (est.) · Updated
  • BAESY
    BAE Systems
    26.8%
    below fair value
    $102.49 → fair value $140.00
    WideMediumLSEG 2.00
    Earnings Feb 18 (est.) · Updated
  • HSY
    The Hershey Company
    26.8%
    below fair value
    $168.40 → fair value $230.00
    WideLowLSEG 2.67
    Earnings Oct 29 · Updated
  • DKS
    DICK'S Sporting Goods
    26.6%
    below fair value
    $140.84 → fair value $192.00
    NarrowHighLSEG 2.36
    Earnings Nov 24 (est.) · Updated
  • ROL
    Rollins
    26.6%
    below fair value
    $33.78 → fair value $46.00
    WideMediumLSEG 2.75
    Earnings Oct 21 · Updated
  • BA
    Boeing
    26.5%
    below fair value
    $186.59 → fair value $254.00
    WideHighLSEG 1.75
    Earnings Oct 27 · Updated
  • SBAC
    SBA Communications
    26.5%
    below fair value
    $183.72 → fair value $250.00
    NarrowMediumLSEG 2.33
    Earnings Nov 2 · Updated
  • ON
    onsemi
    26.3%
    below fair value
    $73.70 → fair value $100.00
    NarrowHighLSEG 2.50
    Earnings Nov 2 · Updated
  • BX
    Blackstone
    26.1%
    below fair value
    $108.59 → fair value $147.00
    WideHighLSEG 2.28
    Earnings Oct 22 · Updated
  • POOL
    Pool Corporation
    26.0%
    below fair value
    $169.89 → fair value $229.58
    NarrowHighLSEG 2.53
    Earnings Oct 22 · Updated
  • SAP
    SAP
    25.5%
    below fair value
    $224.96 → fair value $302.00
    WideMediumLSEG 2.04
    Earnings Oct 21 · Updated
  • MPWR
    Monolithic Power Systems
    25.4%
    below fair value
    $1,231.17 → fair value $1,650.00
    WideHighLSEG 1.88
    Earnings Oct 29 · Updated
  • OSK
    Oshkosh
    25.2%
    below fair value
    $128.71 → fair value $172.00
    NarrowHighLSEG 2.28
    Earnings Oct 29 · Updated
  • TDG
    TransDigm
    25.1%
    below fair value
    $1,123.97 → fair value $1,500.00
    WideMediumLSEG 2.44
    Earnings Nov 4 (est.) · Updated
  • STZ
    Constellation Brands
    25.0%
    below fair value
    $129.80 → fair value $173.00
    WideHighLSEG 2.40
    Earnings Jan 6 (est.) · Updated
  • SCHW
    Charles Schwab
    23.9%
    below fair value
    $94.42 → fair value $124.00
    WideMediumLSEG 2.04
    Earnings Oct 15 · Updated
  • DOO
    BRP
    23.7%
    below fair value
    CA$78.54 → fair value CA$103.00
    WideHighLSEG 2.33
    Earnings Dec 3 (est.) · Updated
  • LOW
    Lowe's
    23.5%
    below fair value
    $195.17 → fair value $255.00
    WideMediumLSEG 2.03
    Earnings Nov 19 (est.) · Updated
  • ALLE
    Allegion
    23.4%
    below fair value
    $154.74 → fair value $202.00
    WideMediumLSEG 2.33
    Earnings Oct 22 · Updated
  • INTU
    Intuit
    23.2%
    below fair value
    $330.44 → fair value $430.00
    NarrowHighLSEG 2.34
    Earnings Nov 19 (est.) · Updated
  • BKNG
    Booking Holdings
    22.9%
    below fair value
    $167.34 → fair value $217.00
    WideHighLSEG 1.90
    Earnings Nov 4 (est.) · Updated
  • PEP
    PepsiCo
    22.7%
    below fair value
    $130.65 → fair value $169.00
    WideLowLSEG 2.68
    Earnings Feb 2 (est.) · Updated
  • FICO
    FICO
    21.8%
    below fair value
    $758.54 → fair value $970.00
    WideHighLSEG 2.39
    Earnings Oct 29 (est.) · Updated
  • TSM
    Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing
    21.8%
    below fair value
    $417.81 → fair value $534.00
    WideMediumLSEG 1.65Structural gap: Strong results can close the execution part, but the market will probably keep a discount for Taiwan-China risk that TSMC cannot control.
    Earnings Jan 15 (est.) · Updated
  • TSCO
    Tractor Supply
    21.7%
    below fair value
    $32.88 → fair value $42.00
    WideMediumLSEG 2.29
    Earnings Oct 23 (est.) · Updated
  • RBGLY
    Reckitt Benckiser
    21.6%
    below fair value
    $14.58 → fair value $18.60
    WideMediumLSEG 2.33
    Earnings Oct 27 · Updated
  • CPRT
    Copart
    21.1%
    below fair value
    $27.63 → fair value $35.00
    WideHighLSEG 2.15
    Earnings Nov 19 (est.) · Updated
  • NOC
    Northrop Grumman
    20.8%
    below fair value
    $498.82 → fair value $630.00
    WideMediumLSEG 2.26
    Earnings Oct 20 · Updated
  • GEHC
    GE HealthCare
    20.0%
    below fair value
    $70.40 → fair value $88.00
    WideMediumLSEG 2.00
    Earnings Oct 29 (est.) · Updated
  • ASML
    ASML
    19.9%
    below fair value
    $1,642.38 → fair value $2,050.00
    WideHighLSEG 1.76
    Earnings Jan 14 (est.) · Updated
  • GOOGL
    Alphabet
    19.7%
    below fair value
    $347.62 → fair value $433.00
    WideMediumLSEG 1.80
    Earnings Oct 28 · Updated
  • SPGI
    S&P Global
    19.6%
    below fair value
    $422.00 → fair value $525.00
    WideMediumLSEG 1.82
    Earnings Oct 27 · Updated
  • APH
    Amphenol
    19.1%
    below fair value
    $80.88 → fair value $100.00
    WideMediumLSEG 1.76
    Earnings Oct 29 (est.) · Updated
  • KVUE
    Kenvue
    19.0%
    below fair value
    $18.62 → fair value $23.00
    WideHighLSEG 2.93Structural gap: The fixed exchange ratio ties Kenvue's price to Kimberly-Clark's shares, and the deal is expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2026 at the agreed terms, below the standalone value.
    Earnings Nov 6 (est.) · Updated
  • LMT
    Lockheed Martin
    18.2%
    below fair value
    $531.88 → fair value $650.00
    WideMediumLSEG 2.35
    Earnings Oct 22 · Updated
  • JHX
    James Hardie
    18.0%
    below fair value
    $25.82 → fair value $31.50
    WideHighLSEG 1.50
    Earnings Nov 6 (est.) · Updated
  • BF.B
    Brown-Forman
    17.8%
    below fair value
    $28.77 → fair value $35.00
    WideHighLSEG 3.17
    Earnings Dec 2 (est.) · Updated
  • AOS
    A. O. Smith
    17.6%
    below fair value
    $59.34 → fair value $72.00
    WideMediumLSEG 2.57
    Earnings Oct 29 · Updated
  • AZO
    AutoZone
    17.4%
    below fair value
    $3,055.04 → fair value $3,700.00
    WideMediumLSEG 1.86
    Earnings Dec 8 (est.) · Updated
  • GD
    General Dynamics
    17.3%
    below fair value
    $336.56 → fair value $407.00
    WideMediumLSEG 2.28
    Earnings Oct 30 · Updated
  • MDLZ
    Mondelez
    17.3%
    below fair value
    $63.70 → fair value $77.00
    WideLowLSEG 2.12
    Earnings Oct 28 (est.) · Updated
  • TW
    Tradeweb
    16.8%
    below fair value
    $112.31 → fair value $135.00
    WideMediumLSEG 2.24
    Earnings Oct 29 · Updated
  • IMBBY
    Imperial Brands
    16.7%
    below fair value
    $37.48 → fair value $45.00
    WideMediumLSEG 1.00
    Earnings Nov 17 · Updated
  • BAC
    Bank of America
    16.5%
    below fair value
    $51.76 → fair value $62.00
    WideMediumLSEG 1.92
    Earnings Jan 14 (est.) · Updated
  • DPZ
    Domino's
    16.4%
    below fair value
    $304.96 → fair value $365.00
    WideMediumLSEG 2.44
    Earnings Feb 22 (est.) · Updated
  • BSY
    Bentley Systems
    16.2%
    below fair value
    $36.04 → fair value $43.00
    WideMediumLSEG 1.94
    Earnings Nov 5 · Updated
  • AMZN
    Amazon
    15.6%
    below fair value
    $253.09 → fair value $300.00
    WideMediumLSEG 1.77
    Earnings Oct 29 (est.) · Updated
  • GSK
    GSK
    14.9%
    below fair value
    $49.34 → fair value $58.00
    WideMediumLSEG 2.18
    Earnings Oct 28 (est.) · Updated
  • CMG
    Chipotle
    14.5%
    below fair value
    $30.79 → fair value $36.00
    WideMediumLSEG 2.11
    Earnings Oct 28 · Updated
  • VRSK
    Verisk
    14.0%
    below fair value
    $189.17 → fair value $220.00
    WideMediumLSEG 2.20
    Earnings Nov 5 · Updated
  • NSRGY
    Nestlé
    13.8%
    below fair value
    $97.41 → fair value $113.00
    WideLowLSEG 3.00
    Earnings Oct 22 · Updated
  • ICE
    Intercontinental Exchange
    13.8%
    below fair value
    $157.79 → fair value $183.00
    WideLowLSEG 2.00
    Earnings Oct 29 · Updated
  • BLK
    BlackRock
    13.7%
    below fair value
    $1,104.00 → fair value $1,280.00
    WideHighLSEG 1.95
    Earnings Jan 14 (est.) · Updated
  • META
    Meta Platforms
    13.7%
    below fair value
    $733.74 → fair value $850.00
    WideHighLSEG 1.84
    Earnings Oct 21 · Updated
  • UNH
    UnitedHealth Group
    13.4%
    below fair value
    $411.48 → fair value $475.00
    NarrowHighLSEG 1.93
    Earnings Jan 13 (est.) · Updated
  • RTX
    RTX
    12.8%
    below fair value
    $186.56 → fair value $214.00
    WideMediumLSEG 2.19
    Earnings Oct 20 · Updated
  • MCO
    Moody's
    12.8%
    below fair value
    $479.78 → fair value $550.00
    WideMediumLSEG 1.96
    Earnings Oct 21 · Updated
  • BMY
    Bristol Myers Squibb
    12.5%
    below fair value
    $61.28 → fair value $70.00
    WideMediumLSEG 2.50
    Earnings Oct 29 · Updated
  • USB
    U.S. Bancorp
    12.0%
    below fair value
    $57.21 → fair value $65.00
    WideMediumLSEG 2.17
    Earnings Jan 15 (est.) · Updated
  • NOW
    ServiceNow
    11.1%
    below fair value
    $146.67 → fair value $165.00
    NarrowHighLSEG 1.81
    Earnings Oct 28 · Updated
  • MAS
    Masco
    11.1%
    below fair value
    $72.03 → fair value $81.00
    WideMediumLSEG 2.55
    Earnings Oct 28 · Updated
  • DIS
    Disney
    11.0%
    below fair value
    $111.19 → fair value $125.00
    WideMediumLSEG 1.86
    Earnings Nov 17 · Updated
  • SNPS
    Synopsys
    10.7%
    below fair value
    $464.16 → fair value $520.00
    WideHighLSEG 1.75
    Earnings Dec 9 (est.) · Updated
  • WFC
    Wells Fargo
    10.4%
    below fair value
    $82.40 → fair value $92.00
    WideMediumLSEG 2.11
    Earnings Jan 13 (est.) · Updated
  • MSFT
    Microsoft
    10.1%
    below fair value
    $539.19 → fair value $600.00
    WideMediumLSEG 1.70
    Earnings Oct 28 · Updated
  • MCD
    McDonald's
    9.7%
    below fair value
    $243.75 → fair value $270.00
    WideLowLSEG 2.24
    Earnings Nov 4 (est.) · Updated
  • SYY
    Sysco
    9.5%
    below fair value
    $82.37 → fair value $91.00
    WideMediumLSEG 2.53
    Earnings Nov 3 · Updated
  • ADSK
    Autodesk
    9.2%
    below fair value
    $243.32 → fair value $268.00
    WideMediumLSEG 1.87
    Earnings Nov 27 (est.) · Updated
  • APD
    Air Products
    9.2%
    below fair value
    $295.17 → fair value $325.00
    WideMediumLSEG 2.19
    Earnings Nov 5 · Updated
  • ABEV
    Ambev
    8.9%
    below fair value
    $3.28 → fair value $3.60
    WideMediumLSEG 3.10
    Earnings Oct 29 · Updated
  • AXP
    American Express
    8.9%
    below fair value
    $310.69 → fair value $341.00
    WideMediumLSEG 2.34
    Earnings Oct 23 · Updated
  • GWW
    Grainger
    8.7%
    below fair value
    $1,314.51 → fair value $1,440.00
    WideMediumLSEG 2.80
    Earnings Nov 4 · Updated
  • AZN
    AstraZeneca
    8.6%
    below fair value
    $168.18 → fair value $184.00
    WideMediumLSEG 1.86
    Earnings Oct 30 · Updated
  • LIN
    Linde
    8.2%
    below fair value
    $495.75 → fair value $540.00
    WideLowLSEG 2.23
    Earnings Oct 29 · Updated
  • BTI
    British American Tobacco
    8.2%
    below fair value
    $57.85 → fair value $63.00
    WideMediumLSEG 1.50Structural gap: Many investors do not own tobacco, and regulators keep adding rules, so the market will probably always pay less for BAT's cash flow.
    Earnings Feb 11 · Updated
  • SYK
    Stryker
    7.8%
    below fair value
    $291.21 → fair value $316.00
    WideMediumLSEG 1.83
    Earnings Oct 29 · Updated
  • UL
    Unilever
    7.1%
    below fair value
    $65.01 → fair value $70.00
    WideMediumLSEG 1.83
    Earnings Oct 28 · Updated
  • DHR
    Danaher
    6.4%
    below fair value
    $231.27 → fair value $247.00
    WideMediumLSEG 1.70
    Earnings Oct 21 · Updated
  • CSU
    Constellation Software
    6.3%
    below fair value
    CA$3,278.00 → fair value CA$3,500.00
    NarrowHighLSEG 2.00
    Earnings Nov 6 (est.) · Updated
  • HD
    Home Depot
    6.1%
    below fair value
    $305.31 → fair value $325.00
    WideMediumLSEG 2.32
    Earnings Nov 17 · Updated
  • DEO
    Diageo
    5.9%
    below fair value
    $94.07 → fair value $100.00
    WideMediumLSEG 2.22
    Earnings Nov 6 (est.) · Updated
  • NVO
    Novo Nordisk
    5.8%
    below fair value
    $39.57 → fair value $42.00
    WideHighLSEG 2.85
    Earnings Nov 4 · Updated
  • RHHBY
    Roche
    5.1%
    below fair value
    $56.95 → fair value $60.00
    WideLowLSEG 2.14
    Earnings Oct 22 · Updated
  • YUM
    Yum! Brands
    1.6%
    below fair value
    $150.58 → fair value $153.00
    WideLowLSEG 2.39
    Earnings Nov 3 (est.) · Updated
  • WM
    Waste Management
    -0.6%
    above fair value
    $221.30 → fair value $220.00
    WideMediumLSEG 2.00
    Earnings Oct 27 · Updated
  • MRX
    Marex Group
    -0.9%
    above fair value
    $71.11 → fair value $70.50 (AI estimate)
    None (AI estimate)High (AI estimate)LSEG 1.89
    Earnings Nov 5 · Updated
  • SUGR
    Sucro Limited
    -1.5%
    above fair value
    CA$10.35 → fair value CA$10.20 (AI estimate)
    None (AI estimate)Very High (AI estimate)LSEG No ratingStructural gap: The founder controls the company, the stock trades very little, and minority holders cannot block a bid, so the price will probably stay below reported value.
    Earnings Nov 19 (est.) · Updated
  • PG
    Procter & Gamble
    -2.0%
    above fair value
    $158.08 → fair value $155.00
    WideLowLSEG 2.48
    Earnings Oct 22 · Updated

Recent updates

  • ABGAsbury Automotive
    This company was added.
  • ADBEAdobe
    This company was added.
  • AMCRAmcor
    This company was added.
  • ANAutoNation
    This company was added.
  • ASAmer Sports
    This company was added.

What these numbers mean

Analysts set the fair value, moat, and uncertainty ratings, unless a value names another source (management, the analysts' mean target in LSEG, or an AI estimate). I do not set these ratings. Read the disclaimer for more information.

Some stocks have no fair value from any source yet. Those show only their price and LSEG rating.

  • Fair value & discountAnalysts, unless another source is named

    Analysts build a cash flow model for each company. This model gives an estimate of the true value of the company. The estimate does not depend on the current stock price. Discount = 1 minus price divided by fair value. A positive discount means the price is below the fair value. A negative discount means the price is above the fair value.

  • Economic moatAnalysts, unless another source is named

    This rating shows how long a company can keep its advantage over other companies. A Wide moat means the advantage can last about 20 years or more. A Narrow moat means the advantage can last about 10 years or more. A None moat means the company has no lasting advantage. The analysts look at five things to set this rating: network effects, intangible assets, cost advantages, switching costs, and efficient scale.

  • Fair-value uncertaintyAnalysts, unless another source is named

    This rating shows how much the fair value estimate can change. The scale goes from Low to Very High. A company with unpredictable cash flow gets a higher uncertainty rating. Cyclical revenue, high debt, and revenue from few customers can cause this. A large discount on a High or Very High uncertainty stock is a weak signal, because the fair value behind it is a rougher guess. A large discount on a Low uncertainty stock is a stronger signal.

  • Other sourcesManagement, LSEG, AI estimate

    The analysts do not cover every company. For such a company, a value can come from another source, and the page always names it next to the value. Management means the company's own published value per share, such as Brookfield's plan value. Analysts' mean target (LSEG) means the average of the analysts' price targets in LSEG's data. AI estimate means an AI research agent worked out the value from the company's filings. The company page shows its method, inputs and date under Valuation. An AI estimate is not an analyst's value. A company with no source shows only its price and LSEG rating.

  • LSEG ratingLSEG (formerly Refinitiv / Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S)

    Stock market analysts each give a recommendation for a stock. LSEG averages these recommendations on a scale from 1 to 5. A rating of 1 means Strong Buy. A rating of 5 means Strong Sell. A lower number means more analysts recommend the stock. The valuation map shows the rating as words: Strong buy below 1.5, Buy from 1.5, Hold from 2.5, Sell from 3.5 and Strong sell from 4.5. The map shows this axis in reverse, so the more popular stocks sit on the right.

  • Next earningsCompany filings & press releases

    The date of each company's next scheduled quarterly earnings report. When the company has not yet announced a specific date, this is an estimate: the last reported earnings date plus 3 months. Estimated dates are marked '(est.)' in the table and 'estimated' on a stock's page.

No longer picks

These companies left the list. Their pages and history stay, and a company can come back if its price falls.

  • CEGConstellation EnergyNo longer a pick since October 11, 2026

    The price is at the analysts' value and above the AI estimate, and the Crane restart may slip to 2031.

  • COSTCostco WholesaleNo longer a pick since October 11, 2026

    The price is above both the analysts' value and the AI estimate, so there is no margin of safety.

  • DNNDenison MinesNo longer a pick since October 11, 2026

    The price is far above the AI estimate, it has no moat, and it produces nothing before mid-2028.

  • MDAMDA SpaceNo longer a pick since October 11, 2026

    The price is above the AI estimate, it has no moat, and its free cash flow is negative.

  • OUSTOusterNo longer a pick since October 11, 2026

    The price is far above the AI estimate, it has no moat, and it still loses money.

  • QCOMQualcommNo longer a pick since October 11, 2026

    The price is above both the analysts' value and the AI estimate, and the thesis needs AI chip revenue that has not started yet.

  • VNOMViper EnergyNo longer a pick since October 11, 2026

    The price is at the analysts' value and the AI estimate, and Viper does not control where its wells get drilled.