Equifax

Equifax is a global data, analytics and technology company based in Atlanta. It has about 15,000 employees and operates or has investments in 24 countries. It has three segments.

Workforce Solutions sells employment and income verification from its database of payroll records, called The Work Number, and employer services. U.S. Information Solutions (USIS) is the US consumer credit bureau.

International runs credit bureaus in countries such as Canada, Australia and the United Kingdom. Revenue was $1.69 billion in Q3 2026. Mortgage lenders are large customers of both Workforce Solutions and USIS, so mortgage volumes affect results.

The market prices Equifax for its dependence on a slow mortgage market and for its debt. US mortgage revenue grew 15% in Q3 2026, but the mortgage market became much weaker in the second half of the quarter. Because of this, Equifax reduced its 2026 revenue guidance in October 2026, and the company's growth plan still assumes more mortgage activity over time. Debt was $5.2 billion at September 30, 2026, after share buybacks, and Equifax expects to buy Círculo de Crédito in Mexico for an enterprise value of $750 million in Q4 2026.

For the gap to close, three things must be true. Equifax must reach its reduced 2026 guidance of revenue of $6.646 to $6.676 billion and adjusted EPS of $8.45 to $8.55. Workforce Solutions must keep growing outside mortgage, with the government contracts signed in 2026 adding revenue from 2027. Free cash flow must rise, so that the company can pay for the Mexican purchase and keep its buybacks without much more debt.

The full-year 2026 report and the 2027 guidance, expected in early 2027, are the main test. If these checks pass, the gap can close over the next four to six quarters. The main reason it may not close is a long period of high mortgage rates, which keeps mortgage volumes low.

1. Oct 20, 2026Failed

   Q3 2026 earnings: mortgage and Workforce SolutionsRevenue of $1.68 to $1.71 billion, adjusted EPS of $2.15 to $2.25 and stable Workforce Solutions margins pass; results below the guidance or lower 2026 guidance fail.Outcome: Revenue of $1,692.5 million and adjusted EPS of $2.26 met the guidance, but Equifax reduced its 2026 revenue guidance because of a weaker US mortgage market.
2. Q4 2026 · est.Due this quarter

   Círculo de Crédito purchase closesA close in Q4 2026 passes; a delay into 2027 or the end of the agreement fails.
3. Jan 20, 2027 · est.Pending

   Full-year 2026 results and 2027 guidance2026 adjusted EPS inside the $8.45 to $8.55 guidance and 2027 guidance for growth in revenue and free cash flow pass; flat 2027 guidance or higher debt without growth fails.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

• October 20, 2026Equifax reported Q3 2026 results. Revenue rose 10% to $1,692.5 million, and adjusted EPS rose 11% to $2.26. Workforce Solutions revenue rose 7%, USIS revenue rose 13% and International revenue rose 9%. US mortgage revenue rose 15%, but the mortgage market became much weaker in the second half of the quarter. Equifax reduced its 2026 revenue guidance to $6.646 to $6.676 billion and set adjusted EPS guidance at $8.45 to $8.55, $0.04 lower at the midpoint. It expects the Círculo de Crédito purchase to close in Q4 2026.
• July 29, 2026Equifax sold $500 million of 5.000% senior notes due 2029 and $500 million of 5.650% senior notes due 2033. It used the money to repay commercial paper.
• July 21, 2026Equifax reported Q2 2026 results. Revenue rose 11% to $1.70 billion and adjusted EPS rose 13% to $2.25. Workforce Solutions revenue rose 7% and USIS revenue rose 17%. Equifax signed an agreement to buy Círculo de Crédito, a Mexican credit bureau, for an enterprise value of $750 million, with closing expected in Q4 2026. It doubled its target for AI-driven cost savings from 2026 to 2028 to $150 million and returned $366 million to shareholders.

• Mortgage lenders are large customers. High mortgage rates keep mortgage volumes low, which slows the growth of both Workforce Solutions and USIS.
• Workforce Solutions has the highest margins in the company. Its operating margin was 44.1% in Q3 2026, up from 43.8% a year earlier but below 44.9% in Q2 2026. Further pressure on its pricing or data would hurt profit.
• Debt was $5.2 billion at September 30, 2026, and the Círculo de Crédito purchase will add more. Higher debt leaves less room for buybacks if results are weak.
• International revenue is exposed to exchange rates and to the economies of Latin America, Canada, Europe and Asia Pacific.

Equifax funds its operations with senior notes and commercial paper, which its $2.0 billion revolving credit facility backs. At September 30, 2026, total debt was $5.21 billion: $158 million of short-term debt and current maturities and $5.05 billion of long-term debt. Read more